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The possibility that AI will automate most cognitive labor is worth taking seriously. How should we adapt to this transformation? I start from the perspective, articulated in the essay “AI as normal technology”, that the true bottlenecks lie downstream of capabilities and that AI’s impacts will unfold gradually over decades. If this is true, there are major gaps in our current evidence infrastructure, because it over-emphasizes the capability layer.
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The possibility that AI will automate most cognitive labor is worth taking seriously. How should we adapt to this transformation? I start from the perspective, articulated in the essay “AI as normal technology”, that the true bottlenecks lie downstream of capabilities and that AI’s impacts will unfold gradually over decades. If this is true, there are major gaps in our current evidence infrastructure, because it over-emphasizes the capability layer.
The AI Index, currently in its ninth year, tracks, collates, distills, and visualizes data relating to artificial intelligence.

The AI Index, currently in its ninth year, tracks, collates, distills, and visualizes data relating to artificial intelligence.
Strategic stability exists when neither side thinks it can improve its strategic outcome by striking first.

Strategic stability exists when neither side thinks it can improve its strategic outcome by striking first.
Foreign policy starts in the neighborhood. Mexico, Central America, and South America are at the tail-end of decades of rapid workforce growth, a period during which migration was central to their relationships with the United States. The panel will address how a tighter labor supply, alongside new means of production, will affect the economic development of our southern neighbors. It will also consider whether the public transparency offered by new forms of communications can improve governance, and with it, growth. What can domestic governments across the region—and the United States—do to help take advantage of these emerging transformational opportunities while avoiding potential pitfalls?
Moderated by Pedro Aspe, Former Secretary of Finance of Mexico
Expected Panelists:
Richard Aitkenhead, former minister of economics and minister of public finance of Guatemala
Silvia Giorguli, president of El Colegio de México
Claudia Masferrer León, assistant professor and coordinator of the Seminar on Migration, Inequality and Public Policy at El Colegio de México
Ernesto Silva, distinguished visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution and former president of the Unión Demócrata Independiente (UDI) party in Chile
Ben Sywulka, founder of Hapi.vc and former director of the Private Competitiveness Council of Guatemala
This event is open to the general public and part of a series led by George P. Shultz whose intention is to learn from our changing world, to map our governance options in response, and to help structure a variety of efforts going forward.