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The possibility that AI will automate most cognitive labor is worth taking seriously. How should we adapt to this transformation? I start from the perspective, articulated in the essay “AI as normal technology”, that the true bottlenecks lie downstream of capabilities and that AI’s impacts will unfold gradually over decades. If this is true, there are major gaps in our current evidence infrastructure, because it over-emphasizes the capability layer.
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The possibility that AI will automate most cognitive labor is worth taking seriously. How should we adapt to this transformation? I start from the perspective, articulated in the essay “AI as normal technology”, that the true bottlenecks lie downstream of capabilities and that AI’s impacts will unfold gradually over decades. If this is true, there are major gaps in our current evidence infrastructure, because it over-emphasizes the capability layer.
The AI Index, currently in its ninth year, tracks, collates, distills, and visualizes data relating to artificial intelligence.

The AI Index, currently in its ninth year, tracks, collates, distills, and visualizes data relating to artificial intelligence.
Strategic stability exists when neither side thinks it can improve its strategic outcome by striking first.

Strategic stability exists when neither side thinks it can improve its strategic outcome by striking first.
Kim Stanley Robinson is a science fiction author most known for the Mars trilogy and other works on sustainability. His latest novel, The Ministry for the Future, is a near-future story that brings us back to Earth to explore how our society - scientists, activists, and international bodies - might scrape its way out of the climate crisis.
Join us for a Q&A on what The Ministry for the Future tells us about the actions and ethics we need to avoid ecological disaster today.
Event moderated by Jessica Dai (Brown CS) and Jasmine Sun (Stanford Sociology).
This event series is hosted and managed by Reboot, which is an event series and newsletter that convenes book-lovers, writers, and technologists to imagine the future of tech, humanity, and power.