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The possibility that AI will automate most cognitive labor is worth taking seriously. How should we adapt to this transformation? I start from the perspective, articulated in the essay “AI as normal technology”, that the true bottlenecks lie downstream of capabilities and that AI’s impacts will unfold gradually over decades. If this is true, there are major gaps in our current evidence infrastructure, because it over-emphasizes the capability layer.
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The possibility that AI will automate most cognitive labor is worth taking seriously. How should we adapt to this transformation? I start from the perspective, articulated in the essay “AI as normal technology”, that the true bottlenecks lie downstream of capabilities and that AI’s impacts will unfold gradually over decades. If this is true, there are major gaps in our current evidence infrastructure, because it over-emphasizes the capability layer.
The AI Index, currently in its ninth year, tracks, collates, distills, and visualizes data relating to artificial intelligence.

The AI Index, currently in its ninth year, tracks, collates, distills, and visualizes data relating to artificial intelligence.
Strategic stability exists when neither side thinks it can improve its strategic outcome by striking first.

Strategic stability exists when neither side thinks it can improve its strategic outcome by striking first.
Watch now to hear AI Index Steering Committee Co-Chair Jack Clark share a presentation on the key findings of the 2022 AI Index Report, released on March 16.The AI Index is an independent initiative at Stanford HAI led by an interdisciplinary steering committee of experts from across academia and industry. Its goal is to be the world’s most credible and authoritative source for data and insights about AI to provide policymakers, researchers, journalists, executives, and the general public a deeper understanding of the field.
Co-Founder, Anthropic; Co-Chair of the AI Index Steering Committee, Stanford HAI
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