Eyck Freymann | AI and Strategic Stability: A Framework for U.S.–China Technology Competition
Strategic stability exists when neither side thinks it can improve its strategic outcome by striking first.
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Strategic stability exists when neither side thinks it can improve its strategic outcome by striking first.
Sequence data is ubiquitous in economics — job histories in labor economics, diagnosis and treatment sequences in health economics, strategic interactions in game theory. Generative sequence models can learn to predict these sequences well, but their complexity makes it hard to extract interpretable economic insights from their predictions.
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Sequence data is ubiquitous in economics — job histories in labor economics, diagnosis and treatment sequences in health economics, strategic interactions in game theory. Generative sequence models can learn to predict these sequences well, but their complexity makes it hard to extract interpretable economic insights from their predictions.
What does digital inclusion look like in the age of AI? Over 6,000 of the world’s 7,000-plus living languages remain digitally disadvantaged.

What does digital inclusion look like in the age of AI? Over 6,000 of the world’s 7,000-plus living languages remain digitally disadvantaged.
Systems like ChatGPT and Claude assist billions through proactive dialogue—offering unsolicited, task-relevant information. Drawing on Cognitive Load Theory, we study how cognitive load shapes performance in AI assisted knowledge work.
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Systems like ChatGPT and Claude assist billions through proactive dialogue—offering unsolicited, task-relevant information. Drawing on Cognitive Load Theory, we study how cognitive load shapes performance in AI assisted knowledge work.
Today, strategic stability is increasingly important and potentially fragile. Nuclear weapons are no longer the only technology that threatens a state with devastation. AI competition and emergent AI capabilities could challenge strategic stability in many ways, including offensive and defensive cyber operations, sensing, ballistic missile defense, and intelligence / counterintelligence operations.
This talk will provide a detailed account of how AI, nuclear deterrence, and semiconductor interdependence jointly shape strategic stability in U.S.–China competition. From there, the seminar will make the case that AI introduces both new deterrence tools and new threats to strategic stability, especially through its effects on cyber operations, intelligence, and command-and-control.