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The possibility that AI will automate most cognitive labor is worth taking seriously. How should we adapt to this transformation? I start from the perspective, articulated in the essay “AI as normal technology”, that the true bottlenecks lie downstream of capabilities and that AI’s impacts will unfold gradually over decades. If this is true, there are major gaps in our current evidence infrastructure, because it over-emphasizes the capability layer.
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The possibility that AI will automate most cognitive labor is worth taking seriously. How should we adapt to this transformation? I start from the perspective, articulated in the essay “AI as normal technology”, that the true bottlenecks lie downstream of capabilities and that AI’s impacts will unfold gradually over decades. If this is true, there are major gaps in our current evidence infrastructure, because it over-emphasizes the capability layer.
The AI Index, currently in its ninth year, tracks, collates, distills, and visualizes data relating to artificial intelligence.

The AI Index, currently in its ninth year, tracks, collates, distills, and visualizes data relating to artificial intelligence.
Strategic stability exists when neither side thinks it can improve its strategic outcome by striking first.

Strategic stability exists when neither side thinks it can improve its strategic outcome by striking first.
Register to Attend In-Person in DC
The Stanford Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI), Microsoft, and LinkedIn invite you to the DC launch of the 2025 Stanford AI Index Report on April 10 at the Microsoft Innovation and Policy Center located at 901 K Street, NW, Washington, DC. The AI Index is an annual report that tracks data relating to AI, recognized globally as one of the most credible and authoritative sources for data and insights on artificial intelligence.
The 2025 AI Index is the most comprehensive report to date, launching at a critical time when AI's impact on society is more pronounced than ever. The report has broadened its scope to more extensively cover key trends such as AI’s technical progress, public perceptions, and geopolitical dynamics.
During the program, the Stanford HAI team will provide an overview of the report’s findings followed by a panel discussion focused on their economic implications for workers, firms, and policymakers. Namely, that AI not only enhances productivity but also helps narrow the gap between low- and high-skilled workers and workers anticipate that AI will transform jobs, but their fear of being replaced remains low.