Economy | The 2026 AI Index Report | Stanford HAI
Stanford
University
  • Stanford Home
  • Maps & Directions
  • Search Stanford
  • Emergency Info
  • Terms of Use
  • Privacy
  • Copyright
  • Trademarks
  • Non-Discrimination
  • Accessibility
© Stanford University.  Stanford, California 94305.
Skip to content
  • About

    • About
    • People
    • Get Involved with HAI
    • Support HAI
    • Subscribe to Email
  • Research

    • Research
    • Fellowship Programs
    • Grants
    • Student Affinity Groups
    • Centers & Labs
    • Research Publications
    • Research Partners
  • Education

    • Education
    • Executive and Professional Education
    • Government and Policymakers
    • K-12
    • Stanford Students
  • Policy

    • Policy
    • Policy Publications
    • Policymaker Education
    • Student Opportunities
  • AI Index

    • AI Index
    • AI Index Report
    • Global Vibrancy Tool
    • People
  • News
  • Events
  • Industry
  • Centers & Labs
Navigate
  • About
  • Events
  • AI Glossary
  • Careers
  • Search
Participate
  • Get Involved
  • Support HAI
  • Contact Us

Stay Up To Date

Get the latest news, advances in research, policy work, and education program updates from HAI in your inbox weekly.

Sign Up For Latest News

04

Economy

Economy, Markets

This chapter analyzes the economic footprint  of AI across the private sector and its implications for labor markets, productivity, and the future of work.


See Chapter 5

All Chapters

  • Back to Overview
  • 01Research and Development
  • 02Technical Performance
  • 03Responsible AI
  • 04Economy
  • 05Science
  • 06Medicine
  • 07Education
  • 08Policy and Governance
  • 09Public Opinion

1. Global corporate AI investment more than doubled in 2025.

Private investment grew fastest at 127.5% and now accounts for 60% of the total. Generative AI led the surge, growing more than 200% and capturing nearly half of all private AI funding. Newly funded AI companies rose 71%, and billion-dollar funding events nearly doubled.

2. The United States continues to lead in global private AI investment, committing 23 times more than China.

In generative AI, U.S. investment exceeded the combined total of China and Europe by a wide margin. However, private investment figures likely understate China’s total AI spending, as government guidance funds have deployed an estimated $184 billion into AI firms between 2000 and 2023.

3. AI company revenue is rising at historically fast rates, but compute costs and infrastructure spending are also reaching record levels.

Leading frontier companies are reaching meaningful revenue scale in a short period of time, but compute spend has increased significantly year-over-year. Major cloud providers have accelerated capital expenditures, with Google reporting more than $150 billion in annual capex in 2025.

4. The value consumers get from generative AI grew 54% in a year, reaching $172 billion in the U.S.

Estimated U.S. consumer surplus reached $172 billion annually by early 2026, up from $112 billion a year earlier, with the median value per user tripling over the same period. Most of these tools remain free or close to it.

5. Organizational AI adoption continued to rise in 2025, up to 88% of surveyed organizations, though AI agent use remains early.

Generative AI is now used in at least one business function at 70% of organizations, and China and Europe posted the highest year-over-year increases. AI agent deployment was in the single digits across nearly all business functions.

6. Generative AI reached 53% adoption in three years, faster than the personal computer or the internet.

Adoption varies widely across countries and correlates strongly with GDP per capita, though some outpace what income would predict, including Singapore at 61% and the United Arab Emirates at 54%. Despite its lead in AI investment and model development, the United States ranks 24th at 28.3%.

7. AI's labor market effects are showing up unevenly, concentrated in hiring pipelines and the youngest workers in exposed occupations.

Employment for software developers ages 22 to 25 has fallen nearly 20% from 2024. Employer surveys point to further change ahead, with one-third of respondents expecting workforce reductions over the coming year.

8. One-third of organizations expect AI to reduce their workforce in the coming year, even though large-scale job losses have not yet shown up in overall employment data.

Almost half of organizations surveyed expected little to no change. Anticipated reductions are highest in service operations, supply chain, and software engineering. Across nearly all functions, anticipated decreases outpaces those already observed.

9. Productivity gains from AI are largest in structured, measurable work where outputs are easy to monitor.

Studies report gains of 14% to 15% in customer support, 26% in software development, and 73% in marketing output. Gains are smaller in tasks requiring deeper reasoning, and recent evidence raises concerns that heavy AI reliance may carry long-term learning penalties that slow skill development over time.

10. China continues to install more industrial robots than the rest of the world combined, and the gap widened in 2024.

China accounted for 54% of industrial robots installed globally, up from 51.1% in 2023. Global year-over-year growth was flat, and several major markets, including the United States, Germany, and Italy saw declines. Taiwan was an exception, recording the highest year-over-year growth at 33%.


Support the Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI (HAI) in our mission to advance ethical and impactful advancements in artificial intelligence.

Your support helps foster research, education, policy, and collaboration across diverse fields. Whether you are an individual, a corporation, a foundation, or a family office, together we can ensure AI serves humanity’s best interests.

Make a Gift to AI Index