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Medicine | The 2026 AI Index Report | Stanford HAI
06

Medicine

Healthcare

An overview on AI advancements in medicine, including scientific discovery, clinical applications, patient engagement, and ethical considerations.

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  • Back to Overview
  • 01Research and Development
  • 02Technical Performance
  • 03Responsible AI
  • 04Economy
  • 05Science
  • 06Medicine
  • 07Education
  • 08Policy and Governance
  • 09Public Opinion

1. In molecular biology, smaller models are outperforming larger ones.

MSAPairformer, a 111-million-parameter protein language model, outperformed previous leading methods on the benchmark, ProteinGym; and GPN-Star, a 200-million-parameter genomics model, outperformed a model with 40 billion parameters.

Bar chart comparing protein language model performance on ProteinGym from 2021 to 2025. Average correlation scores range from 0.39 to 0.48, with the highest score achieved by E1 retrieval-augmented models in 2025.

2. Virtual cell models emerged as a new frontier in 2025, with major releases including Evo 2 from the Arc Institute, STATE, and DeepMind’s AlphaGenome.

These models aim to predict cellular responses to drugs and genetic perturbations without running wet-lab experiments, though current systems still require experimental validation.

Abstract illustration showing DNA strand and cells

3. Like other areas of AI, biological model development is increasingly bottlenecked on data rather than architecture.

With cofolding models now representing all structure types in the Protein Data Bank, 2025 saw a turn toward distilled datasets of AI-predicted structures and training on combined experimental data sources, expanding training sets from hundreds of thousands of entries to tens of millions.

4. AI tools that automatically generate clinical notes from patient visits saw broad adoption in 2025.

Across multiple hospital systems, physicians reported they were spending up to 83% less time writing notes, experiencing significant reductions in burnout, with one hospital system reporting a 112% return on investment.

Abstract illustration of a stylized AI or data-processing system, with geometric shapes flowing into a central layered hexagon and transforming into a DNA-like helix beside a medical cross and heart icon.

5. The FDA authorized 258 AI medical devices in 2025, most through pathways that do not require new clinical trials.

The vast majority entered the market via device-modification pathways that rely on existing safety and efficacy evidence rather than new randomized trials, with only 2.4% of devices with clinical studies supported by randomized trial data.

Bar and line chart showing annual FDA approvals of AI medical devices and the cumulative total from 1995 to 2025. Approvals remain low until the late 2010s, then rise sharply, reaching 258 approvals in 2025 and a cumulative total of nearly 1,400 devices.

6. A multi-agent AI system scored 85.5% on complex published case studies, versus 20% for unaided physicians.

Microsoft's AI Diagnostic Orchestrator, paired with OpenAI's o3, was tested on challenging cases drawn from the medical literature against physicians working without their usual tools. Multi-agent frameworks more broadly have shown diagnostic accuracy gains of 7% to over 60% over single-agent baselines.

Abstract healthcare illustration showing a clinician reviewing medical data, with DNA strands, medical imagery, and an AI-like glowing eye symbol representing AI-assisted diagnostics.

7. AI-generated summaries now appear at the top of 84% to 92% of health-related Google searches.

Symptom and common health questions trigger an AI Overview 92% of the time, followed by treatment and condition queries. These summaries are now a routine feature of health information searches, shaping the initial interpretation of users' questions.

Horizontal bar chart showing the share of health-related search queries that return an AI Overview. Common health and symptom queries have the highest share at 92%, while condition queries have the lowest at 84%.

8. Ethics discussion in medical AI publications more than doubled in 2025, but the conversation is narrow.

Governance dominates the discourse, while algorithm accountability, biosecurity, and global health equity remain underexplored.

Grouped bar chart showing annual medical AI publications and medical AI-and-ethics publications from 2021 to 2025. Both increase each year, with medical AI publications rising to 5,477 in 2025 and AI-and-ethics publications reaching 2,378.

9. Research interest in medical digital twins is growing fast, and where trials exist, early results are promising.

In a randomized trial of 150 diabetes patients, 71% achieved healthy blood sugar levels over one year while safely reducing their medications.

Bar chart showing annual publications on medical digital twins from 2015 to 2025. Publications were minimal before 2020, then grew rapidly, reaching 372 in 2025.

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